Two of VSiN faculty soccer consultants provide their recommendation on Thursday’s bowls.
Gasparilla Bowl — UCF vs. Florida (-7, 56.5)
Little Brother vs. Big Brother video games are at all times enjoyable throughout the bowl season and we’ve obtained one right here between UCF and Florida. Gus Malzahn leads the Knights towards an interim head coach in Greg Knox, who was in the identical position when Dan Mullen took the Florida job and left Mississippi State previous to the 2017 TaxSlayer Bowl. Knox led the Bulldogs to a win over Lamar Jackson and Louisville in that one.
The Gators have already named a brand new head coach in Billy Napier and it appears to be like as if Anthony Richardson will likely be subsequent yr’s beginning quarterback, as Emory Jones has introduced his intentions to enter the switch portal after the Gasparilla Bowl. That has to create an uncomfortable scenario for Jones, although Richardson is out after present process knee surgical procedure.
Florida’s points ran deep on the defensive facet of the ball, particularly late within the season with 5.82 yards per play allowed in 4 November video games. UCF was an offense that ripped off over 6 yards per play, although the workforce did play at a slower tempo than what we noticed from Josh Heupel, because the Knights solely ran 791 offensive performs. Will they pace up a bit right here to assault what’s clearly a weak point for the Gators?
UCF’s protection truly fared fairly effectively this season within the AAC and the workforce ought to have had a greater report by yards per play differential than what truly befell. The Knights have been truly a top-25 protection by yards per play. However, they allowed simply 4.27 yards per play of their eight wins and 6.39 yards per play of their 4 losses, together with 6.6 yards per play in a single sport towards a Power Five opponent. It was a feast-or-famine protection that performed the A hundred and first-ranked schedule per Sagarin.
I’m anticipating factors on this sport. Florida’s protection is suspect and UCF’s defensive numbers have been propped up by shutting down actually poor offenses. Florida, even with some opt-outs and uncertainty, is the most effective offense UCF has confronted this season exterior of Cincinnati, which put up 56 factors.
Burke’s decide: Over 56.5.
Frisco Football Classic — North Texas vs. Miami (Ohio) (-3, 54.5)
North Texas began the season 1-6 and coach Seth Littrell was firmly on the recent seat. The Mean Green rallied to 6-6 and ended up 9-3 ATS.
With a chance to succeed in the MAC Championship sport within the season finale, Miami fell to Kent State, 48-47 in extra time. The Redhawks’ offensive energy is its passing sport led by QB Brett Gabbert (Blaine’s youthful brother), who threw for two,412 yards with 24 touchdowns. They completed thirty third within the nation in passing effectivity whereas the North Texas protection completed 98th in passing protection effectivity.
While the Mean Green may battle to decelerate Miami via the air, the Redhawks could have a tough time controlling North Texas on the bottom. The Mean Green completed third within the nation with 245.2 dashing yards per sport and had 340 vs. UTSA. RB DeAndre Torrey completed with 1,215 dashing yards and 13 touchdowns whereas RB Ikaike Ragsdale went for over 100 yards in three of the final 4 video games of the season. Miami allowed 150.3 dashing yards per sport, together with 303 yards to Kent State.
Frisco is simply 23 miles away from the North Texas campus. Miami went 5-0 SU at house this yr however 1-6 (2-5 ATS) away from Oxford, Ohio. In this example, I’ll experience with the workforce that has gained 5 straight, a dominant run sport and is taking part in a de facto house sport.
Murray’s decide: North Texas +3.